The Coming War with China: A Semi-Fictional Future
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In 1941, to limit the power of the United States in the Pacific, the Japanese sent a fleet to Pearl Harbor to cripple the US Pacific Fleet. They failed. China learned from this major mistake, or so they believe. China is now implementing a plan for doing something similar with the goal of achieving the same end with the nuclear threat of North Korea aimed at Hawaii. The “mistaken” missile alert, given how the alert is triggered and the immediate demands of certain politicians there, make it obvious that “this was no drill.” Rather, it is a message to America. They believe they can hand President Trump, and the allies, a fait accompli; and it is obvious for those willing to open their eyes to the facts. China is telling America to obey or face another, nuclear Pearl Harbor.
Unbelievable? Only if one decides to ignore the signs that are there for all to see. In the 1930’s America ignored the signs in Europe and the western Pacific and the China Seas right up to December 7th, 1941. History is repeating itself in the same locations and for the same reasons; resources, empire, and global control.
In the Intelligence Community, there is a process known as OSINT or open source intelligence where an analyst establishes a hypothesis, then begins to develop indications of whether the hypothesis is valid or not. Using open sources, the analyst evaluates the information, the sources, the statements by governments and the actions by those same governments to develop a picture or scenario. This work is such a scenario of the South China Sea, and it is a scary one as it points directly to the events of 70 years ago to the actions of today with perfect accuracy.
Harry I Nimon DBA
Dr. Nimon has been teaching at Henley-Putnam University since 2011 and is known as one of the most outgoing, dedicated, and committed instructors the university currently has as part of its faculty per several of their Deans. His level of energy, dedication to creating an optimal curriculum, and subject matter expertise is certainly among the best faculty of Henley Putnam. Moreover, Harry, as he prefers to be called, actively seeks to remain current in the field, develop new and critical skills, and remain active in the field of instruction. Dr. Nimon currently teaches courses in both the Masters and Doctoral degree programs and has been awarded various accolades for his abilities in instruction and research. He teaches courses in research, analysis, protection, and serves on many theses and dissertation committees, providing expert guidance and mentoring of graduate students. In addition to these areas, he has become among the most important doctoral degree professors, leading students to the highest degree of research and analysis. His students literally come from all parts of the world and walks of life from members of the United Nations Global Security Division to various international intelligence organizations. This book is an example of this skill set as is his text book, Offensive and Defensive Security published by Xlibris in 2013. He is currently working a three-volume memoir on a man who spent 8 years in deep cover in the 70’s and 80’s in Iran. This man became known to many of the tribes there as the Lawrence of Persia and was so respected by the Tribes and hated by the Soviets, that the KGB murdered his pregnant wife while she was in a supposedly safe MI6 hospital (safe enough for the Queen of England) and placed a $250,000 in gold bounty on him. The murderers were actually KGB moles within MI6 and senior members at that. The volume containing this information is completed and is undergoing final editing for release later this year. The title will be: The Young Officer: An American Lawrence and His British Wife in the Zagros Mountains of Iran.
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The Coming War with China - Harry I Nimon DBA
Copyright © 2018 by Harry I Nimon, DBA.
Library of Congress Control Number: 2018901030
ISBN: Hardcover 978-1-5434-8032-0
Softcover 978-1-5434-8031-3
eBook 978-1-5434-8030-6
All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording, or by any information storage and retrieval system, without permission in writing from the copyright owner.
Any people depicted in stock imagery provided by Thinkstock are models, and such images are being used for illustrative purposes only.
Certain stock imagery © Thinkstock.
Rev. date: 10/19/2018
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DEDICATION
D URING MY YOUNGER years, I and my neighborhood friends would ‘play Army’ using the various houses, bushes, and walls (and during the winter, snow-forts) as our bases and battlefields. My closest playmate, born two houses away and three months after me, remained my best friend, and later Best Man at my marriage to my beautiful Marian. Scott Gephart, mentioned within this book, was an inspiration for many of our games, and ended up being an inspiration leading me into a career in the United States Army and later in various fields of Intelligence and Operations Research work. Scott passed suddenly and unexpectedly from this world at the young age of 60. Of anyone, none would have considered such a healthy and active person to pass so young.
It is in your Memory that I dedicate this book my friend. To Scott (Gup) Gephart of Canton, Ohio. 1954 – 2014. And to my High School Friends, may our memories never surrender or die.
A lot of ambitious and dangerous powers are watching Obama…and may well as a consequence act foolishly and recklessly this next year. Not only Russia, China, and North Korea, but also Haas Hezbollah, Iran, ISIS and assorted rogue states may take chances in the next [few] months that they would otherwise never have entertained.
Victor Davis Hanson¹
FOREWORD
By Dr. Phil Kiver and Dr. Scott Snair
T HIS BOOK IS both timely and necessary.
China has the world’s largest standing Army and is continually upgrading their Navy. Putting this together with their continuing land creation and grabbing in the South China Sea, soon it will be too late to avoid an armed conflict. While the world has been focused on the Middle East and Southwest Asia, China has been preparing by steadily strengthening their hand.
China’s goal for hegemony in the Pacific is clearly laid out and cannot be ignored any longer. Flybys and float-by’s are no longer enough to guarantee freedom of the skies and seas or to contain China’s ambitions.
The author uses the current state of affairs, coupled with what could be
in narrative format. This combination of truth and possible future events should be alarming even to the most casual observer of China.
Dr. Nimon’s ringing of the alarm bell of China cannot be ignored any longer.
Dr. Phil Kiver ABD, is the New York Times Best- Selling Author of 182 Days in Iraq, (First and Second Editions) and Iraq in Pictures.
* * *
Dr. Scott Snair
A funny thing happened on the way to writing this foreword. During the same week, I was asked to write an introduction to this text, China opened its first major overseas military base, in Djibouti, a country in East Africa. Also, during the same week, North Korea, China’s strongest military ally, successfully tested its first ICBM. When it comes to coincidences (especially the ones that seem contrived by our angels), the week was a one-two punch!
That China and North Korea are strategically poised to establish a threat anywhere in the world is rarely disputed. With a billion people engaged in a humming economy and growing military presence, China has gained stature as a world influence alongside NATO and Russia. (It also possesses, it’s worth noting, over a trillion dollars in U.S. government bonds.) And North Korea, with its totalitarian government, nuclear testing, missile testing, and military-first policies, constantly keeps the world on edge. North Korea, it turns out, also was not as backward technologically as once thought, as the hacking of Sony Corporation of America and banks worldwide are largely believed to be linked to its government.
And yet the dance of nations is only recently becoming a dinner table conversation topic again. A generation of Americans, only just marginally interested in and educated on how the United States has historically kept wrongful spheres of international influence in check, seems to be taking notice once more to how frighteningly balanced global security really is, and how easy it could be for others to tip the scales in a wrong, disastrous direction.
One of my favorite books of all time was Red Storm Rising, by Tom Clancy. The novel, about a hypothetical Third World War in Europe, came out while I was a cadet at West Point. I gobbled that book up. The tome was considered almost mysteriously policy-and-technology driven, and it seemed to paint a highly accurate portrait of the type of conflict I might fight as a young artillery officer in the late 1980s. I dare say Clancy’s masterful novel was considered by many to be more of a field manual than the field manuals themselves. (That and Sword Point, by Harry Coyle, published two years later.)
But somewhere along the way, the Middle East became a distraction. Egged on by the diabolical, cartoon images of Ayatollah Khomeini, Osama Bin Laden, and Saddam Hussein—not to mention the tragedy of September 11, 2001—the United States spent trillions of dollars and thousands of lives in a murky strategy of combating foreign-government-sponsored international terrorism. The presence of international and home-grown terrorists on U.S. soil unnerved many communities, and the chess games among great nations were largely forgotten by the U.S. public.
Fortunately, the posturing of nations is neither forgottenorignored by our intelligence elite, and as the contests of powerful nations gain renewed interest, the U.S. intelligence community has been ready to provide insight as if the public’s interest had never left. Its cadre of experts and analysts has offered, and continue to offer, us a trove of information and scenarios on how such world games might play out.
Such it was with Harry Nimon’s worthwhile text on a possible U.S. war with China. The book holds up nicely as an entertaining, fast—paced read about a plausible geographical conflict. But, more importantly, as did Red Storm Rising, it presents itself also a valuable, academic endeavor in Open Source Intelligence (OSINT), as well as the scenario development used in military planning. Dr. Harry Nimon begins his book with a slow boil of geological history, geopolitical realities, and then lets the pot boil over with international actions and reactions that get out of hand. It was a good read for both lovers of thrillers and students of strategic security.
The thinking until relatively recently was that China was foregoing a robust military presence to pursue a solid financial, international presence, such as its New Silk Road banking initiative for building infrastructures throughout Asia and Africa. After all, financial ties last long and tend to stay strong. However, between setting up an overseas base of operation and building artificial islands, with weapons, in the South China Sea, clearly China was seeking to become a dominant military power. What happens if China and another dominant military power collide? Find out the answers in — and, by all means, enjoy — Dr. Nimon’s following narrative.
Dr. Scott Snair is a retired colonel of the U.S. Army and is the Dean of the Doctoral program at Henley-Putnam School of Strategic Studies, National American University.
CONTENTS
Dedication
Foreword
Figures
Author’s Preface
Chapter I – Introduction
Beginnings
Operation Mainstream
Operation Bootstrap
Introduction to Asian Geology
The Critical Aspect of Cultural Ownership of Terrain
History of Chinese Culture and the Mandate from Heaven
Origin of Ownership
Origin of Empire
Mandate of Heaven
Chinese Culture and Western Hatred
China’s Activities to Date
The Defense of Palawan – Japanese During World War II
Chapter II – The Road to War
Prologue
Current Environment
Introduction
Political
Cultural Revitalization
Reunification and Development of Political Will
Establishment of Achievable Objectives
Preparation
Opportunity
Military Indicators
South China Sea
Location
Chapter III – Preface to War – 6 Years Earlier
China – Southern Command
Palawan Island – Six Years Earlier
Arial Aerospace Corporation – White Sands, New Mexico
Change
San Diego—Naval Amphibious Base Coronado
Manila — 4 Years Later
Chinese Embassy: — Washington DC —Two Years Later
Chinese Embassy – Three Days Later
Chinese Embassy: – Washington DC – Two Days Later
Years Earlier – Chicago, Illinois
Coffee Shop — A Short Time Later
The Recruitment of Judith Fram
The Recruitment of Mary Accanea
Maryland – Several Years Earlier
The Recruitment of Amanda Sanchez
Maryland House of Delegates – Second Year of Second Term
US Army War College – Carlisle Barracks, Pennsylvania
Chapter IV – Plays and Counterplays
Global Heritage Foundation
Executive Boardroom – Bern, Switzerland – Prior to the American Elections
Washington DC Office – Twelve Hours Later
US Army War College – Carlisle Barracks, Pennsylvania – Back to present day
泰莱钢 (Dailan) Shipyard — China
US Army War College
US Army War College – School of Strategic Land Power Commandant’s Office – Two Hours Later
Headquarters – 10th Mountain Division – Fort Drum, NY
US Army War College – 1300 Hours the Next Day
The Pentagon – Washington DC
Office of the Secretary of Defense – Conference Room
Fort Drum, New York – 10th Mountain Division – Change of Command Ceremony
Washington, D.C.
McLean Virginia – Chain Bridge Road and Tennyson Road
Chinese Embassy
Chinese Embassy – Hon Tsu Fin’s Office
Washington DC – White House – Office of Frank Odd CoS to POTUS
Washington, DC – The Oval Office
Small Dirt Road West of Puerto Princessa – Palawan Island165
Saltan Sea, California
National Guard Headquarters – Puerto Princessa, Palawan Island, Philippines
Later that day
North Korea – Pyongyang – Kim Il Sung Square
Chapter V – It Begins
Openings
The Conundrum
The Mission
Palawan – Day 6 of Korean War
The Invasion
DAY 7 – The Middle East
Day 10 – Palawan Island
Day 10 – Puerto Princessa
Marine Corps HQ – Airfield – Puerto Princessa
CG-62: The USS Chancellorsville – Celebes Sea
CVN 76 The USS Ronald Reagan – North Philippine Sea
Palawan Island
PLAN Liaoning – South China Sea
Day 12/Day 3 of Palawan Invasion
The Counteroffensive
Ariel Aviation Corporation – General Headquarters, Chicago, Illinois
Fort Drum, New York — Home of the 10th Mountain Division
10th Infantry Division 1948—1958
10th Mountain Division HQ’s – OPERATION DRAGONRIDER
Department of the Air Force – Washington, DC.
Defcon Two Warord
Communications Center – US Naval Operations
PLAN Liaoning – South China Sea
Point TANGO-XRAY – Eighteen Hours Later
Admiral’s Wardroom – USS Ronald Reagan
Washington, DC – Office of the United Nations Ambassador
Washington, DC – Office of the President of the United States – 10:00 a.m. a Day Later
Washington, DC – The Shadow-Government Offices of Former President Accanea
Washington, DC – Office of the U.N. Ambassador – 1:00 p.m.
Washington, DC – Oval Office — 7:30 p.m.
Palawan Island – Early Morning
Puerto Princessa, Palawan Island – Immaculate Conception Cathedral
Chapter VI – PLAN Liaoning – South China Sea
Fiery Cross Reef, Spratley Islands – USS Michigan
Fiery Cross Reef – Spratley Islands – USS Dallas (Seawolf Class)
Manilla Airbase, Philippine Islands – USS John Stennis and USS Ronald Reagan
Near Thitu Reef, South China Sea – PLAN Kunming (昆明) Type 052D Destroyer
Thitu Reef Chinese Airfield, South China Sea
Puerto Princessa, Palawan Island – Immaculate Conception Rectory
PLAN South China Headquarters – Zhanjiang, Guangdong Province
ASEAN Forward Headquarters – Manila, The Philippines
Foreign Science and Technology Center, Charlottesville, VA
长城—57 (Great Wall No. 57) – Bottom of Sulu Sea Near Latuan Island
USAF Poseidon – Over the Sulu Sea Near Latuan Island
USS North Dakota – Between Latuan Island and the Carrier Fleet
¹⁰th Mountain Division Assembly Airfields – Bacolod and Silay City, Negros Occidental of the Central Visayas Island Group
Cornwall Drive – Great Falls, VA – Home of Ambassador Judith Fram
Oval Office – The White House
¹⁰th Mountain Division Assembly Airfields – Bacolod and Silay City, Negros Occidental of the Central Visayas Island Group, The Philippines
El Nido Airfield, Palawan Island
Zhongnanhai Complex – Beijing, China
El Nido Airfield, Palawan Island
Oval Office – The White House
Chapter VII – End Games
El Nido – ¹⁰th Mountain FWD HQ’s – Palawan Island
Zhongnanhai Complex – Beijing, China
CVN 76 The USS Ronald Reagan – Nearing Palawan Island Area
长城—57 (Great Wall No. 57) – Now Fifteen Miles from the USS Stennis at 300 Meters Depth
Airedale 104 – 650 Feet Altitude and Two Miles South of 长城—57
长城—57
USS South Dakota
COBRA STRIKE 2 – Altitude 105,000 Feet, Speed Mach 12
CVN 76 The USS Ronald Reagan – At a Dead Stop
Norad – Colorado Springs, Colorado
The Forbidden City – China
Washington, DC
References
FIGURES
Figure 1 — Saindak Mines
Figure 2 — Land Structure of Last Ice Age
Figure 3 — Japanese Sunken City Photos
Figure 4 — Chinese Copper and Gold Mine in Baluchistan/Pakistan (GoogleEarth)
Figure 5 — American Invasion of Palawan WWII from US Army Archives
Figure 6 — Territorial Claims (with permission from Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative AMTI@csis.org)
Figure 7 — Thitu Island (Pag—Asa) Development (Photos from Google Earth)
Figure 8 — Communications Island Construction (Photos from Google Earth)
Figure 9 — South China Sea Resources (Permission from Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative
Figure 10 — Current Estimated Chinese Military Forces by 2020¹³
Figure 11 — PLAMC Brigade (Department of Defense, 2007)
Figure 12 — Force Array Battle of Gettysburg (US Department of the Interior)
Figure 13 — Battle of Leyte Gulf WWII (US Army Archives)
Figure 14 — US Army Laser Weapon
Figure 15 — US Army War College School of Strategic Landpower Curriculum
Figure 16 — Princess Ashraf Pahlavi
Figure 17 — Change of Command Ceremony (US Army ¹⁰th Mountain Division)
Figure 18 — Training Ambush
Figure 19 — Depiction of Foam Blow Sinking Event
Figure 20 — Palawan Hotel Resort West Side
Figure 21 — The Second Korean War (US Army Archives modified by author)
Figure 22 — HOMELAND SOSUS Coverage (http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/)
Figure 23 — DART Locations (http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2008/20080310_buoy.html)
Figure 24 — Iranian Attack into Turkey (by Author, map from Wikipedia)
Figure 25 — Palawan Invasion (by author, map from Google Earth)
Figure 26 — Palawan Landing Craft (by author)
Figure 27 — Ribbon Bridge/Port Sections (photo by author)
Figure 28 — Day 10 Puerto Princesa (by Author map by Google Earth)
Figure 29 — Palawan Invasion Day 1 (by Author map by Google Earth)
Figure 30 — Philippine Guard Ambush Late Day 1 (by Author map by Google Earth)
Figure 31 — Photo from ¹⁰th Inf Div Archives (Public domain)
Figure 32 — Photo from ¹⁰th Inf Div Website (Public Domain)
Figure 33 — Photo from ¹⁰th Inf Div Website
Figure 34 — Foam—Blow Sinking (Blog Photograph)
Figure 36 — DF—21 Range Fan (by author map by Google Earth)
Figure 37 — Hellmuth Walters Submarine Engine
Figure 38 — SPECTATOR 600 (by author)
Figure 39 — El Nido Airfield (Objective Normandy map by Google Earth)
Figure 40 — Objective Normandy Phase I (by author map by Google Earth)
Figure 41 — El Nido Airfield Defenses (by author map by Google Earth)
Figure 42 — Reactive Armor Effects (by author)
Figure 43 — Potential Advanced Prototype Example (photo by author at Farnborough 2012)
Figure 44 – Carrier Torpedo Killer (US Navy)
AUTHOR’S PREFACE
I AM AN intelligence officer, trained and experienced in the development of data for analysis into a finished product useful to decision—makers involved in various defense activities. During my career, I have used this training and expertise to make long-term predictions of global security activities that have, on many occasions, proven highly accurate. This book is the result of one of those activities, where I was asked to work on events beginning to happen in Egypt, the Persian Gulf, Indian Ocean, and Pacific Rim to determine why they were happening and what possible future effects could occur.
These assessments were transformed into strategic political and military scenarios, one of which was entitled Egyptian Dawn, and later became publicly known as Arab Spring when our assessments became fact. The second one, somewhat earlier, became publicly known as Operation Eagle Claw, although my participation in that was very low level, as a First Lieutenant at McDill AFB in Tampa, Florida with what was known as CENTCOM. Some military individuals may remember the larger exercises as BOLD EAGLE, what we lovingly referred to as Busted Buzzard.
This was the third. I and a team of three constructed this, placing it into an advanced and highly responsive combat simulation computer system to determine potential outcomes using current and future weapons technologies, both those in development and those only conceptualized. A portion of the scenario was used in a separate simulation during an exercise at the Pacific Warfare Simulation Center on Ford Island, Hawaii for CINCPAC, demonstrating issues associated with an Air-Sea operation against a specific enemy force.
My individual effort took my team’s concept and said, What would happen if —
This work is the answer to that what if
based upon what was known eight years ago and, not surprisingly, is coming to pass now with a significant degree of accuracy. Anyone doubting this need only compare the information contained herein with unfiltered news reports of the area.
The weapons, tactics, forces, and other aspects are accurately portrayed, even those that appear to be highly futuristic. None are imaginary. Some are being deployed currently if one follows various internet military news blogs. Others have been readily discussed in airshows, Defense Seminars, and even on National Geographic and History Channel shows and may have suddenly gone quiet.
All information contained herein is open source, retrieved from readily available documents in public circulation. This is known, when compiled into Intelligence, as OSINT.
I hope you enjoy my meanderings into a possible, and concerning future.
CHAPTER I
Introduction
This work is designed as a ‘fictional’ documentary collecting information on events currently making news concerning the Asia-Pacific Rim and the Middle East as it concerns Chinese expansionism and possible Colonialism. In the Intelligence Community is a process known as OSINT or Open Source Intelligence where an analyst establishes a hypothesis then begins to develop indicators of whether the hypothesis is valid or not. Using open sources, the analyst evaluates the available information, the sources, statements by the governments, and the actions of those same governments to develop a picture or scenario. This work develops such a scenario…and it is disconcerting.
Beginnings
The world is a complicated place. What one sees, or rather what one believes one sees is often not reality. Examine a full moon in the early evening. It appears as a gigantic ball of orange light, casting the ground into a series of off-color grays as it rises over the horizon to the joy of young lovers, poets, and artists. As it rises, it changes to its true form of a small, white orb, casting reflected light over the landscape. Yet, even then it does not show its true face, which is cratered and scared with the impacts of the thousands of meteors over the centuries.
The world of power and politics is the same. It has been this way since mankind first placed individuals in positions of leadership and allotted them special privileges over those of others who came to covet those privileges and created plans to remove those above themselves and take their place. At first, it was in simple villages. As villages grew, the conflicts grew to communities, cities, city-states, nations, and now continents. Finally, none, or at least very few, know when this occurred, an elite group realized that while they could not halt the wars, they needed to control the masses to maintain the safety of the world. They do this irrespective of what the control does to the populations of the nations involved…as long as they remain the elite.
Then, there began a change. Some equated this change to a higher spiritual power. Others to organizations so rich and secretive that their members were often known only to a few, and never to all. These groups often possessed capabilities of both cognition and precognition that their members, no matter how humble their beginnings appeared, left this life in positions of such high regard that there were none who dared challenge them. Those few who did rarely survived to regret their mistake.
Two famous examples come from the depths of history. One was named Joseph, who rose to be second only to the Pharaoh of all of Egypt. The second was named Daniel. His ability to read the future brought him the pinnacle of power in the most powerful empire then existing in the Middle East. His enemies sought to destroy him with lies, having him cast into a den of lions under the order of Darius, the King of Babylon (later Iraq, Turkey, and Persia).
According to history, Darius ran to the den expecting Daniel to have been torn to pieces, only to find him whole, healthy, and petting the lions. Per the biblical reference, Daniel said, O king, live forever. My God hath sent his angel, and hath shut up the mouths of the lions, and they have not hurt me: forasmuch as before him justice hath been found in me: yea and before thee, O king, I have done no offence.
² (God, Holy Bible) Following this, King Darius had the enemies of Daniel and their entire families fed to these same lions and ordered that all people fear and revere the God of Daniel. What was interesting is, Daniel was not considered by some rabbinical scholars as being a Jew/Hebrew; just as Noah, Balaam, and Melchizedek were not. More interesting, this knowledge of Daniel, renamed Belteshazzar, continues to this day among the Medes, who are now called Kurds.
Most important is that historians tend to mention such individuals, then leave them alone as if their lives ended seconds after the event mentioned in whatever text or scroll. Melchizedek was a king and priest of God who knew Abraham. He was friends, obviously, with Abraham for many years to be remembered not only to the days of the priesthood that Moses established, but even unto the time of Jesus and beyond — thousands of years. Daniel was no different. As these individuals were obviously wealthy and intelligent, it is also likely they foresaw events far into the future, especially prophets such as Daniel who foresaw even the end of times according to apocalyptical writings. Would such men not have students? Disciples? It’s unthinkable.
Would the wealthy of the time experiencing the events written decide that such men who had a direct line to the heavens and who could interpret dreams that even the dreamer could not express to others not be someone to keep close — for their own protection? And is it inconceivable that such men do not exist to this day? There are those who say this was not only possible, they say it is fact.
OPERATION MAINSTREAM
During the late 1800’s a history-changing event occurred — the internal combustion engine was invented and gasoline was refined from oil. Gasoline, once burned off as a waste product in the production of lubrication oils, grease, and kerosene, was now valuable. In 1908, the British discovered oil in Persia and established a government-owned company in conjunction with the King of Persia. Then came World War I and a man named T.E. Lawrence.
The history of Lawrence of Arabia is somewhat known, yet not completely. He is known as an agent of the British Army to Prince Feisal al Hussein. In actuality, he was a special project officer for a man named Winston Churchill, then First Lord of the Admiralty and is shown in a photograph the author owns standing directly behind Mr. Churchill in a position of honor. After the war, Lawrence continued his work in the Middle East ensuring that the new Soviet Union was unable to infiltrate into the politics of Iran/Persia, Afghanistan, Pakistan, India and Iraq. He became and remains a hero to many of the Arab tribes and Kurds of the Zagros region.
Prior to his accidental motorcycle death, he trained up a protégé named Captain Redcombe. Redcombe, and another man hated by the British secret services named Ted Allbeury, were very involved in SOE (British Special Operations Executive). Allbeury set up, trained and ran European resistance units up to and after the end of the war. He was betrayed by members of the British Secret Service, MI6, and captured by the KGB. Redcombe did the same in Persia yet continued working for MI6 without ever returning to London, thus remaining outside of their grasp.
The KGB (known as the NKVD at the time) treated Allbeury to a dinner to let him know that they admired his work against the Nazi’s during the war, yet could not allow him to turn his talents against them. They then had him strip off his clothes, nailed him to a cabin wall, and left him there in subzero weather for two days. At this point they returned, found him still alive, treated his wounds, and took him to an American checkpoint as they knew that MI6 would execute him were he to be returned to them.
Allbeury survived and his story from that point on can be found to anyone willing to research him. What is not found is that MI6 kidnapped his two daughters, taking one to Poland where he was assisted in rescuing her by individuals unknown (quite possibly the KGB themselves); and the second to the outback in Australia where the Queen demanded her return.³
During the Second World War, and little known to most historians, was the existence of a railroad line from the Persian Gulf through the Zagros Mountains, through Kurdistan, and into Southern Russia. This rail line was a vital link providing Soviet Russia with weapons, oil, food, medicines, and other war materiel. War historians will say that Hitler’s attack into the Crimea was solely an attempt to seize the oil fields, and that is not true. He knew of this supply route and needed close airfields to cut it. He also attempted to infiltrate agents through Nazi-sympathetic Turkey only to have them disappear
as they met up with the Kurds.
Not only was now LTC Redcombe and his tribal and Kurdish allies very active in killing as many German agents, and their Turkish and other tribal allies as they could to maintain the rail line: Redcombe had to fight communist agents. These agents were attempting to wrest control of the various Khans (tribal leaders) away from British control. This control could only be maintained with three things, gold, arms and honor. Britain was in short supply of the gold and arms, especially from 1937 to 1941 in spite of the monopoly they had on the oil in the region. Redcombe supplied the honor in spades. Yet, the money arrived and the .303 Lee Enfields arrived along with large amounts of ammunition. How and from where?
OPERATION BOOTSTRAP
By now, the country of Iran existed, and the Empire of Great Britain across the world was in decline. The rising powers of the world were the United States, the Soviet Union, and China. The United States had become a nuclear power and the Russians were fast becoming one. The Chinese were soon to follow the lead of the Soviets as they learned that the British lion was being replaced by the Soviet bear, and the Chinese tiger did not like this and did not trust Occidents.
The middle east remained the powder keg, and power center with the Persian King replaced by his son, who was now entitled Shah. His hold on his country, however, was not secure as there was a growing group of academics feeding off the communist breast seeking power enough to overthrow the Shah and destroy the British oil monopoly on their way to Islamic independence as promised by America in the form of President Roosevelt. Under President Truman, this was not to be.
Churchill was gone. The British government was socialist and spending money it did not have. So, they created the British Petroleum Company in the hopes of obtaining royalties and easing political pressures. This, of course, did not work as the more they sold off of BP, the less money they received in royalties. Finally, push-came-to-shove and an MI6 agent, who was very close friends with the Shah’s son and twin sister, assisted in the plotting of a coup. This was known as OPERATION BOOTSTRAP. Thus, was Shah Mohammed Reza Pahlavi brought into power, and the weaknesses of LBJ, Nixon, and the fatalities of Carter made themselves into the situation leading to the war we are about to experience.
So, Eduard, what do you think of this history lesson so far?
Interesting, yet I fail to see why Iran and this history figures in what I have been brought in to learn about, sir.
That is why you must spend the next few weeks reading up on the American and British activities during the 1960’s through to the 1980’s and beyond in the Zagros Mountains, Baluchistan, and now in Afghanistan, and why first the Soviets, and now the Chinese are spending their way into the good graces of these barbarians. Pay particular attention to the manuscript there to your left, yes, that one. That talks about the life and achievements of an American who became the protégé of Colonel Redcombe. This American, single-handedly, kept the world from making two major mistakes in the latter half of the 20th Century. We tried to recruit him, however, we were unsuccessful.
And he is still alive? Amazing…
He is alive because of what he knows that no one else in the world that we know of now does. Knowledge sufficient to split the entire middle east in half as he was asked to do in the 1980’s.
Impossible!
Truth! And it is this ability and influence that has maintained a peace, such as it is, in that part of the world. And we must ensure that it stays that way in spite of current American and Chinese stupidity.
And if he dies? Does not the secret die with him?
Dare we take that risk?
We care that much?
We funded him, to the tune of £5 Billion in Gold with more promised to him — and he made the right decisions.
Humm — may I ask why?
You can ask, but then I’ll have to kill you,
Eduard’s mentor only half joked with a smirk. Seriously, that is why you are here today, to understand why this was all so important. The first aspect is cultural. People do not lose their history over the centuries. Take the Kurds for example. Ever wonder why they are so hated in the region?
I have,
Eduard replied. They are Persian like the Iranians, yet are hated by them, the Iraqi’s, the Turks, and everyone it seems.
"Here is your first lesson, and why Lawrence’s protégé, and his protégé were so loved by them. All Kurds identify as Medes, as a race, but not all practice strict Islam as a religion. The Medes were a people of Indo-Iranian (Aryan) origin who inhabited the western and north-western portion of present day Iran. By the 6th century BC (prior to the Persian invasion) the Medes were able to establish an empire that stretched from Aran (the modern-day Republic of Azerbaijan) to Central Asia and Afghanistan.
Figure%201.jpgFigure 1 — Saindak Mines
Today’s population of the western part of the Iranian Plateau (including many Persian-speakers, Kurds and Azeris) consider themselves to be descended from the ancient Medes. These are the same Medes from which Darius, Nebuchadnezzar, and Daniel historically have their roots. They remember this and are extremely proud of this past. Lawrence’s protégé, and his successor, as did Lawrence, honored this past. For the Asian peoples, culture has become genetic."
The second, and equally important aspect is geology. Why is everyone so interested in this region. For example, the Chinese are going to great lengths to build roads and railways into Pakistan through country owned by India sufficient to go to war over. Why? For one, they are mining a significant amount of copper and gold from two locations located, physically in Baluchistan yet claimed by the Pakistanis (Figure - 1). Not far from here is another, more important geological feature that we will discuss later. One worth going to war over and much more valuable than mere gold.
Introduction to Asian Geology
Asia has a long history, dating back to before the first Egyptian pyramid was constructed. Evidence points to an established civilization in approximately 8,000 BC, which, given that civilizations do not simply appear overnight, in spite of Alien and UFO advocates, dictates a strong culture that has become inculcated into the very genetics of the people. Archeological finds in various areas outside of the Asian Mainland indicate modern human colonization or spread to various islands and national zones such as Vietnam, Laos, Burma and the like as early as 10,000 BC. These finds include remains in the Malaysian/Philippine chains dating to that period genetically linked to Mainland races.
While important, set this aside for a minute. Examine first that the areas of the world with the greatest levels of important natural resources are those also having a history of tectonic activity. The middle east oil and other resources are near the Persian Gulf and Zagros Mountains that are geologically active. The northern resource area so coveted by the Chinese and zealously guarded by the Russians are the site of the largest lava rift on earth. The same is true in Africa, the North Sea, Alaska, the United States, everywhere major deposits of resources are found. We now know of significant rare earth deposits in the eastern Iran and Himalayan regions due to the Indian subcontinent plate impacts. All save the main region of China…which has been geologically stable for millions of years. It is relatively barren.
Now, picture this possible scene twelve thousand years ago, per both archeological and paleontological evidence (Figure 2).
Figure%202.jpgFigure 2 — Land Structure of Last Ice Age
Notice, from this view that, because of the amount of seawater captured in the massive glaciers to the north and south, the entire area from norther Japan to Australia were, or nearly were one complete continent. There were few impediments to travel and colonization especially into the areas of Malaysia, the Philippines, and even Japan. Yet, this area was and is geologically active as the Pacific plate forces its way overtop of the Asian Plate.
Around 10,000 BC, the climate changed, and the glaciers began their retreat, a process that continues to this day. The evidence for this was overwhelming and may even be the cause of many underwater discoveries of cities
long covered by the oceans of the world. Currently, archeologists have discovered seven cities
covered by as much as one hundred feet of ocean in various parts of the world, from Egypt and Greece, to the North Sea, Dwarka in the Indian Ocean, and a recently found set of pyramids dating back to 7,000 BC off the coast of Japan near Yonaguni—Jima, (Figure 3 — Japanese Sunken City Photos). Given that civilizations will trade and that the most efficient trading pathways are the oceans, it is logical that these cities were constructed as close to these highways as safety from storms would permit, becoming inundated as glaciers melted and sea-levels rose.
Figure 3 — Japanese Sunken City Photos
The Critical Aspect of Cultural Ownership of Terrain
The question as to the importance of these archeological facts is the human aspect of ownership, particularly cultural ownership. Throughout history, cultural ownership has been the impetus for conflict, from the biblical stories of the various tribal wars of